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Many growth stocks struggled in recent weeks amid COVID-19 uncertainty and just how our economic recovery might turn out in the weeks ahead. Research company Ipsos confirms that there has been a “great decline” in consumer confidence in the United States this month, and globally, there was a relatively small 0.2 basis point improvement in the index from last month.

Those issues are showing on the market, as there are more buying opportunities than there were only a few months back when hopes were better. But analysts, who usually set stock price targets going into the next 18 months, are optimistic about the following two stocks: GrowGeneration and Boston Beer Company. Many analysts think these stocks can increase by over 70%, and it is hard to argue with these projections.

1. GrowGeneration

Gardening and Hydroponics company GrowGeneration has been performing well, but shares of the company are now lower 27% year to date — far under the S&P 500’s gains of 18%. The company is coming away from a strong Q1 performance where their sales of $126 million for the time period ending June 30 were higher 190% y/y. It even increased its guidance and predicts the top line for next year to be between $455 million and $475 million — even at the lower range, that would be a y/y increase of 136%.

But what could cause investors to be wary of the investment is that GrowGeneration is not cheap. While the business is profitable, investors are giving a multiple of 100 times earnings for the stock. On the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, 26 times profits is the average.

However, given this company’s growth opportunities inside the cannabis industry and the possibility for GrowGeneration to give more growers the supplies they need to cultivate marijuana, there is still lots of potential. 

2. Boston Beer

Boston Beer had an underwhelming performance in its Q2 results, which were published in July. Although the company’s net sales of $603 million for the time frame ending June 26 were higher by 33% y/y, that fell under the $658 million that analysts were anticipating. Its per-share profit of $4.75 was also under forecasts of $6.69.

Overzealous forecasting might be to blame, as the company admitted within its press release that it “overestimated our growth in the hard seltzer sector.” Hard seltzer, which has less calories than many other alcoholic drinks, has been sky-rocketing amid the pandemic.

Although things are slowing down, the company’s popularity in hard seltzer might again translate into strong sales numbers if the delta variant does not derail the economy’s reopening. In the previous two periods, Boston Beer’s net sales have gone up by 65% and 53%, respectively. And hard seltzer sales have been crucial to the company’s strong numbers.

Shares of Boston Beer are lower by 40% in the past six months (the S&P 500 is higher by 15%), weighed down greatly by the earnings mishap. But for investors, this might be a great opportunity to buy. Numerous analysts here have made their price targets of well more than $1,000 for the stock, representing a huge upside of over 70%. Some even believe the growth stock might more than double in value.

Author: Blake Ambrose

Ryan Cohen has gotten an impressive 2,400% gain from his GameStop investment in the past eight months, valuing his investment at almost $2 billion right now.

The activist investor and Chewy cofounder first revealed his position in the video-game company a year ago, and expanding his holding to right over 9 million shares by the middle of Dec. He spent around a total of $76 million to create that stake, regulatory documents reveal, showing he gave an average price of $8.40 per share.

GameStop’s stock value has now gone up since then, puting Cohen’s 12.5% investment at about $1.9 billion today – which is an almost 25-fold return on his money. The company’s shares have sky-rocketed more than 1,000% in just this year alone, from under $20 at the beginning of January to around $210 at the time of this writing.

Cohen is both a top beneficiary and important driver of the stock boost. The billionaire e-commerce titan’s stake was a confidence vote in the GameStop company last year, and he hinted about his plans to change the game retailer into a tech company in a message to its board of directors last Nov.

Since then, he has overhauled the board, claimed a role of chairman, and showed his commitment to changing the business and aiding it in meeting its potential.

Also, Cohen’s activism was an important reason why retail traders and investors chose to do a short squeeze on the company’s shares back in January, increasing its price to as high as $483 – briefly putting Cohen’s stake at about $4.3 billion. His involvement could have also shored up GameStop’s stock when the firm give 8.5 million new shares previously this year, bringing in $1.7 billion.

Many investors made a lot of money from GameStop’s incredible rise. But investing experts warn that meme stocks can quickly fall just as fast as they rise. Investors are urged to not invest any money that they cannot afford to lose. Given their volatility, meme stocks have a lot in common with cryptocurrencies on both the upside and downside.

Author: Blake Ambrose

Value stocks are shares in firms selling at low multiples relative to their earnings or potential growth. Ford Motor fits into this category, especially with its electric-vehicle gaining steam. Let’s explore the reasons why this old automaker might make an excellent investment.

Electrification

Ford has high hopes for the EV opportunity in the United States, which will aid in supporting long-term growth in its home market. Management believes industry-wide electrification of 33% and 70% in the pickup and van sectors by 2030. And the firm intends to invest more than $30 billion in the next several years to get a 40% global EV foothold by 2030.

So far this year, Ford’s numbers are helping them reach these high hopes. In July, the company’s EV sales climbed 58% to 9,103 cars — driven by the Mustang Mach-E and the F-150 PowerBoost Hybrid, which was unveiled recently. According to CEO Jim Farley, Ford will focus on auto sectors where it already has dominant brands (transit vans, pickup trucks, and the Mustang sports car). This strategy goes well with Ford’s goal to streamline its operations, which led it to leave the United States sedan market and lay off thousands of workers in the past few of years.

Legacy operations 

Ford’s EV future is good. But as of July, traditional vehicles still represent nearly 92% of sales volume, and consumer demand is strong even with the semiconductor-chip shortage. Ford is also getting benefit from the pandemic last year.

Q2 revenue climbed 38% y/y to $26.8 billion as covid-related headwinds faded. Ford also reported an adjusted earnings before taxes and interest of $1.1 billion — up $3 billion from the prior-year time as Ford Credit earnings helped to offset its losses in auto manufacturing.

An unbeatable value 

With a forward p/e multiple of around eight, Ford’s value is very low compared to Tesla, the current EV leader, which trades for around 125 times earnings. Unlike Tesla, Ford is a slow-moving company with operations that are dominated still by traditional vehicles.

Over the long term though, Ford’s EV work might boost its top-line growth and cause an upward reevaluation of what the firm is really worth.

Author: Steven Sinclaire

If you have not been impressed by what you have seen of Tesla’s newest Self-Driving software beta, ver. 9.2, you are not alone. The CEO of the company, Elon Musk, agrees.

“FSD Beta 9.2 is really not great in my opinion,” he said via tweet last night, “but Tesla’s Autopilot team is improving as fast as possible.”

While Tesla’s Self-Driving software works impressively sometimes, videos from beta testers reveal it coming up short at crucial times. In one footage, a car going toward a small construction site quickly steers toward a hole with an orange cone. Earlier betas have shown Teslas turning in city streets before going toward other cars or plowing through bushes going into the right of way.

The New Timeline

It is not clear if Musk believes Tesla will still reach his year-end goal of getting to Level 5 autonomy—meaning a vehicle that can drive itself at any time without any human input. Musk’s goal lead to questions from the California DMV, who asked the company’s leader of Autopilot applications, CJ Moore whether the time frame was feasible.

“The CA. DMV asked CJ to speak about, from an engineering viewpoint, Elon’s statement about L5 abilities by the end of 2021,” reads a DMV message that summarized the meeting with him. “Elon’s tweet does not match up with the engineering reality according to CJ.”

“Tesla is currently at Level 2. The ratio of driver interruptions has to be in the range of 1 to 2 million miles per driver interruption to go into the higher divisions of automation,” the memo reported. “Tesla said that Elon is expanding on the improvement rates when talking about L5 abilities. Tesla could not say if the rate of improvements would reach L5 by end of 2021.”

Though Musk seems to be upbeat about the Complete Self-Driving 9.3 beta—it is “much improved,” he says—it might be a dead end in development. Previously this month, Musk said via Twitter that version 10 would likely have significant architecture alterations.

This is amid rumors and hints of Apple working on a self-driving car. A move that could give Tesla a formidable enemy in the sector.

Author: Steven Sinclaire

Gold and silver prices were higher in morning trading on Monday, as key foreign markets are favoring these precious metals to begin the week—a lower USD index and solidly gained crude oil prices. These two metals are also benefiting from a boost this week on growing news that the Fed will not be able to start restricting its monetary policy as many people had thought just some weeks ago. 

Oct. gold futures were up by $10.00 at $1,791.80 and Sept. Comex silver were up $0.338 at $23.45 per ounce.

The focus of investors this week is on this year’s Fed symposium which is being held in Wyoming. The confab was pared back and some of it will be virtual because of the delta variant of the covid virus. Earlier this week, investors are reassessing notions that the Fed will be hawkish concerning its monetary policy at their symposium. The quickly spreading delta variant has many people now thinking the Fed will be forced to wait longer to bring in its easy-money programs. Dallas Fed President Rob Kaplan stated Friday he is rethinking his push for an early lowering process for the Fed’s bond buys, due to the virus and its possible impact on the economy.

It seems there is lower risk aversion being seen in the global market to begin the trading week. Although there is still the problem in Afghanistan, with Americans still attempting to get out of the nation. However, it seems the markets are now past the issue. Veteran market observers are well aware of the historically chaotic months of Sept. and Oct. that are coming up for the financial and stock markets.

United States economic data released Monday includes the Chicago Federal Reserve national index, the United States flash and services PMIs, and current home sales.

October gold futures bulls now have an overall close-term tech. advantage along with the momentum advantage. Bulls’ next high-side price target is to give a close over better resistance at $1,800.00. Bears’ next downside target in the close term is driving futures under the solid support at $1,700.00. First resistance is at $1,795.00 and then $1,800.00. First support is at the low of $1,775.90 and $1,769.80.

Author: Blake Ambrose

Will Social Security have a big role in your retirement? If you don’t save enough, you may need to fall back heavily on these benefits once you are ready to leave your job for good.

But you should careful — Social Security has problems, and you might end up with much less income from it than you believe you will. Here are a few tough realities about social security you must know about.

1. Those benefits will not even come close to replacing your income


Many seniors think they will do fine living off of just Social Security. But actually, these benefits will only take the place of around 40% of your previous paycheck if you are an average earner.

Chances are, you can make due on less once you are retired, because you wont have to deal with the costs of going to work or a retirement plan to invest in. But can you really get by with just 40% of the paycheck you are used to? Very likely not. And so if you don’t save a good sum of money for your retirement, you could end cash-strapped.

2. You might not get generous raises

Though next year’s Social Security cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) is turning out to be a good one, in recent times, those raises were very stingy. And increasing Medicare Part B premiums are leaving some seniors with even less income after their COLAs are implemented.

As a good rule, you should not expect your monthly social security to go up substantially once they start rolling in. If you think you will need to boost your retirement income over the long term, working in some way is a better strategy to go about this.

3. Taxes

If Social Security is your only source of income during retirement, there is a good chance you could avoid federal taxes on these benefits. But if you have other income sources (which is a great idea), then as much as 85% of your benefits might be subject to federal taxes.

Also, there are 13 states that have their own taxes against Social Security. Depending on where you are during your retirement, you may not be allowed to keep your benefits completely, and that is something you should definitely work against.

Author: Scott Dowdy

It was not that long ago that there were no companies with a value of $1 trillion. Thanks to a booming market over the past couple of years, though, we now have five companies with market caps over $1 trillion.

That number is likely to go even higher over the next few years. And some of these stocks reaching this threshold seem like very smart investments right now. Here are two of them to invest in that might join the $1 trillion club.

Johnson & Johnson

Johnson & Johnson might reach the $1 trillion value in the not-too-distant future. J&J’s total market cap currently is at $470 billion.

To be sure, Johnson & Johnson is not likely to give jaw-dropping growth. However, the firm has several solid growth paths, notably their autoimmune drugs Tremfya and Stelara and their blood cancer drug Darzalex.

J&J also continues to put money into strategic acquisitions and research that could position it for better growth in the future. One-fourth of the firm’s total revenue is from products that were launched within the past five years.

Do not overlook the vital importance of the company’s dividend in its total return. The company is a Dividend Titan with 59 consecutive years of increasing their dividend. Its dividend yield is currently almost 2.4%. Over the past five years, J&J’s reinvested dividends were roughly 30% of its overall return.

Nvidia

Nvidia could be the first of these two stocks to join the $1 trillion marker. It is growing at a much faster pace than most other companies in this league.

I think Nvidia’s great momentum will keep going. The company’s GPUs should enjoy better demand as gaming applications need more power.

Artificial intelligence might become a much bigger market for Nvidia too. The company already produces significant revenue with data centers by selling its GPUs. Its AI-powered driving platform is also being used inside new self-driving trucks.

Perhaps the largest long-term money maker for Nvidia, though, is what is known as the metaverse. The company’s section of the metaverse — Omniverse. CEO Jensen Huang stated during Nvidia’s second-quarter conference call that he believes the metaverse will “be a new economy that is bigger than our current economy.” If he is right, Nvidia’s market cap might eventually become a lot higher than $1 trillion.

Author: Steven Sinclaire

The clinical stage biopharma company, Alpha Cognition, is starting a pivotal study of ALPHA-1062, a delayed release tablet formula of a prodrug of galantamine.

If this trial is successful, it will allow the company to give an NDA for ALPHA-1062 next year. The drug is being created as the next generation acetylcholinesterase inhibitor (AChEI) which is designed to expand the current standard of therapies by increasing the treatment effect, lowering gastrointestinal side effects and delaying the progression of Alzheimer’s Disease.

During the firm’s R&D webcast, researchers gave exciting results demonstrating that their dual mode of action for the drug could have significant benefits in people with AD.

Here is why that dual mode of action is so crucial and what makes Alpha 1062 an amazing entry into the AD space.

In Alzheimer’s patients, neurotransmitters such as acetylcholine are in low supply in the brain. These lower levels cause poor memory, learning problems and other cognitive issues.

To deal with this, doctors have long used acetylcholinesterase inhibitors (AChEIs). These drugs are effective at treating the symptoms of the disease and have been a standard for more than a decade.

Alpha 1062, also increases acetylcholine levels in patients’ brains. But it also modulates the alpha-7 nicotinic acetylcholine receptor (nAChR), which is another neurotransmitter that plays a crucial role in memory and attention. By working on these two neurotransmitters, ALPHA-1062 can possibly give benefits for patients who are suffering from the cognitive issues linked to AD.

Research has confirmed that this dual action mode boosts the positive benefits of the treatment. In a long-term study released in “Neurology,” patients on AChEI had a 27% lower death risk and continued to do better on cognitive tests compared to patients who were untreated. For those taking galantamine (which is the active ingredient inside ALPHA-1062), the decreased death risk was 29%. These patients also did the best on cognition tests and were less likely to suffer from severe dementia later on.

If the drug is approved, the patented treatment might become the first of its kind to give the improvements in cognitive function without the side effects that have made it hard for patients to keep to for extended lengths of time.

Author: Scott Dowdy

Palantir Technologies has said it is preparing for a new “black swan event” by working to stockpile gold bars.

The company purchased $50.7 million just this month alone in gold, part of a weird investment technique that includes blank-check firms, startups and maybe Bitcoin.

Palantir has previously stated it would accept Bitcoin as a means of payment. A spokesperson for the company said no one has done this yet.

Embracing other forms of currencies “reflects a worldview,” Shyam Sankar, the leading operating officer, stated during an interview. “You must be prepared for more black swan events in the future.”

The gold purchase was found within a securities filing which was made last week for its quarterly report and released publicly earlier this week by the Barron’s publication. Palantir shares were higher around 5% in intraday trading during the week.

Palantir’s 100-ounce gold bars will be maintained in a secure place in the northeastern United States, according to their filing. “The company can take and move the gold which is stored at the location at any time with a reasonable up-front notice,” Palantir said.

Palantir, which was co-founded by the tech billionaire Peter Thiel and CEO Alex Karp, produces software which is used by businesses and governments. It portrays itself as an organization filled with free thinkers. The company moved its office to Colorado last year and made fun of other companies in Silicon Valley as it left. During the interview, Sankar said that Palantir’s culture was like an “artist colony,” instead of a tech firm creating software.

Governments have used Palantir software to aid them in making sense of the covid pandemic, the current alleged black swan, an unpredictable and random event.

The firm has around $2.3 billion in cash and is looking into other uses for their money. Palantir stated in May that it was discussing investing in Bitcoin. And it has taken investment stakes in startups that are customers of its own software, a strategy that helped increase its sales in Q2.

This gold move comes at a time when Americans and American businesses are suffering from sky-high inflation.

Author: Scott Dowdy

Gold sold for modestly more in early morning deals on Thursday, given some safe-haven demands and more risk aversion within this week’s marketplace. The boost in gold is limited by an increasing USD index and lowering crude oil prices. Oct. gold futures were higher by $4.30 at $1,786.60 and Sept. Comex silver was last lower by $0.072 at $23.35 per ounce.

Worldwide, markets were for the most part lower over the night. The American stock indexes went into a solidly lower opening when the NY day session began. The U.S. stock index bulls are going away this week and must stop the bleeding soon to miss any close-term technical harm being inflicted.

Risk-off actions and tactics are in play for this week. It seems the summertime highs have abruptly ended earlier end this year. The increasing covid delta strain is keeping investors and traders tentative, especially going into what history proves can be the hard months of Sept. and Oct. for stocks.

The chaos within Afghanistan and the ruined United States pullout are also triggering market anxiety. And Wed.’s FOMC minutes reveal a still concerned Fed that is worried for the effects of covid on the financial markets. They also are continuing to lean toward restricting its monetary measures as early as fall. Investors and Traders are looking to the upcoming annual Fed symposium in Wyoming next week. Along with more clarity on United States monetary policy and any policy changes will be announced at this meeting.

The important outside markets are seeing the USD index higher and reaching a 10.5-month high. Nymex oil futures were lower, hitting a 2.5-month low and are now trading near $63.00 per barrel. Meanwhile, the yield on the U.S. 10-year T-note is at 1.243%.

Technically, Oct. gold futures bulls possess the close-term advantage and have the momentum. Bulls’ next price target is to get a close over the solid resistance at around $1,800.00. Bears’ close-term downside price target is getting futures prices under solid tech. support at $1,700.00.

Author: Blake Ambrose

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