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Guggenheim Partners’ Scott Minerd says he is long-term bullish on bitcoin, but revealed on Wednesday that the cryptocurrency has went too high, too soon

“Given the huge move we have had over the short term, things are frothy, and I believe we will see a large correction., the firm’s chief investor told CNBC.

 

Bitcoin was priced below $55,000 on Wednesday morning, one week after reaching an all-time high of almost $65,000 in the lead up to Coinbase’s direct listing IPO.

“I see us pulling back to $20,000 or $30,000, which is a 50% fall, but with bitcoin, we have seen these types of declines in the past., Minerd said. However, he went on to say it is a part of “the evolution in the long-term bull market., with bitcoin eventually getting to $400,000 to $600,000 per coin.

Minerd shocked investors last year when he predicted his long-range target for the cryptocurrency, citing its scarcity and its value versus assets like gold.

Since then, Bitcoin has had a massive rally that started in 2020, going up almost 90% so far in 2021. With institutional adoption being cited as a key factor fueling its rise. Some companies such as Tesla invested part of their holdings into bitcoin, and firms like Mastercard and Goldman Sachs are pushing into the world of crypto.

This strength and speed of bitcoin’s rise has worried even crypto bulls such as Minerd, who now says a short-term pullback is not just possible, but likely.

Author: Blake Ambrose
Retailing giant Costco (COST) has announced a 13% uptick in its dividend last week. The double-digit boost was a reminder about why the stock is such a wonderful investment for people seeking income from their portfolio. The retailer has now raised its dividend 17 consecutive years, and there is very likely more to come.

But there is much more to Costco than its 0.9% dividend. Here’s a look at why investors might want to look at Costco stock at a deeper level.

More growth

Costco’s recent dividend boost was a big acceleration over the company’s 8% dividend last year. The dividend’s greater growth, however, is not a surprise given the company’s momentum.

Costco’s revenue increased 13% over 12 months and its earnings per share went up by 16% over the past 12 months. Further, Costco’s sales for the five-week time frame closing on April 4 went upward by 16%, with its same-store sales also increasing 11%.

Management is also looking to maximize e-commerce. With its online sales being up by 76% year over year. And even as the economy starts back, Costco still witnessed 55% growth in online sales during the five-week time frame closing on April 4.

Costco’s other dividend

But here is what investors usually miss about Costco. The company has sometimes paid out large special dividends on top of its normal dividends. In 2020 the company paid a $10 special cash dividend. This was 14 times bigger than its quarterly payments.

While management never guarantees it will pay a special dividend, the payday for investors has been an almost normal occurrence. With $5 to $10 special payments being made in 2012, 2015, 2017, and 2020.

With so many special payments paid since 2012 — it’s safe to bet that Costco’s sub-1% dividend does not do the company justice when it comes to dividend payout.

Even better, the company’s regular dividend makes up under 30% of the company’s earnings. Meaning there is a lot of room for further growth in Costco’s dividend — especially with its earnings going up.

Costco’s excellent momentum, history of dividend increases and special payments, and low payout relative to income make this the perfect long term dividend stock for people looking for income.

 

Author: Scott Dowdy
Artificial intelligence could be the “next big thing,” maybe even as big as the internet was. Computers cannot think. But what they are really good at is finding value in large amounts of data.

With more AI companies going public now, let’s find out some more about two 21st century AI companies and if now is the perfect time for you to start investing into this powerful sector.

1. Mohawk Group

Mohawk Group is a small firm worth under $1 billion. The company is an early user of AI for online retail. The company’s system is named Artificial Intelligence Mohawk E-commerce Engine or AIMEE for short. And it is using this software to find investment opportunities. Some of these seem bizarre to me. But that’s the great thing about AI. The robot does not care about our emotions or bias. It makes choices only based on the data it is given.

 

Following AIMEE, the company bought Aussie Health, a firm that makes Enema Coffee. And it’s bought Spiralizer, a company that makes devices that slices food. It also owns Truweo with its Posture Correction device. Why is the company buying this weird selection of consumer companies? Their AI is relying on search data from Amazon, online reviews, the amount of third-party partners, and various other data that tells the AI where to invest.

What makes the company even more exciting is that they also license the AIMEE platform to any third-party seller who wishes to subscribe to it.

And while AI is not without problems, this data-driven strategy might give Mohawk the leg up over its competitors. Already the firm has reached profitability in its recent quarter. And Mohawk expanded its top line by 62% y/y in Q4. Despite this profitability, Wall Street is only giving this AI superstar a small multiple of 2.5 times sales right now.

2. Upstart

Upstart is a company giving small loans to people in the range of $1,000 to $50,000 dollars. The firm runs no credit checks to do this. Instead, Upstart uses AI to analyze roughly 1,600 data points to determine your risk. And if approved for a loan, 99% of loans are given within 24 hours.

Upstart does not loan the money itself. Instead relying on banking partners. That, right now, includes Cross River Bank, which originated two-thirds of the company’s loans in 2020.

So far, business has been good. Over $9 billion in small loans have already been given on Upstart. And 71% of those are completely automated. That means no human was involved at all. The AI investigated all the data points and approves the loan.

If it works, it will be an incredible business, one that completely changes the banking industry.

Upstart says it experiences 75% fewer defaults than traditional underwriting methods. To support this claim, the company did an internal study back in 2017, with hypothetical default rates.

So far, the sales are increasing nicely. The stock price boosted when the company reported its Q4 numbers. It was not only the 39% growth that got traders revved up. Upstart also raised their estimates for the first quarter. And it was a big increase, calling for revenue growth in the triple-digit range.

Using AI To Transform Everything

Upstart and Mohawk are both fast-growing companies using AI to give themselves an advantage. Both of them are transforming huge markets. If either makes major inroads, early stock owners should get amazing profits.

 

 

 

Author: Blake Ambrose

Last week, two men died in Texas when their 2019 Tesla Model S hit a tree. News of the crash quickly spread when officials claimed “no one was driving” and neither person was in the driver’s seat.

This instantly raised suspicion that Tesla’s “Autopilot” system had caused the accident and claimed the life of two people.

Since then, officials have said they “are positive” no one was driving during the crash.

 

Tesla and its CEO Elon Musk did not give a comment on the issue until later, when Musk replied to someone on Twitter.

“Logs recovered reveal the Autopilot was not on and this customer did not buy FSD. Also, standard Autopilot would need lane lines to be on, which this street did not have., the tech entrepreneur said.

 

 

There is a lot of speculation about the exact cause of this crash. Two agencies are investigating the accident: the National Transportation Safety Board and the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration.

 

Tesla’s semi-autonomous technology and marketing have been labeled as misleading and dangerous.

Also, the company’s Autopilot and “Full Self-Driving” are reported to have documented flaws in terms of how easily their safety features can be used.

 

Whatever the true circumstances that led to this tragedy, these two men believed they could vacate the driver’s seat while their car was moving. And regardless of which systems were used, it’s hard to imagine more damning evidence against Tesla’s automated driving marketing.

 

Author: Blake Ambrose

China’s central bank is now saying that bitcoin is an “investment alternative” — marking a huge change in Beijing’s tone after their recent crackdown on cryptocurrency issuance almost four years ago.

Insiders said the comments were “progressive” and are watching for any changes made by the People’s Bank of China (PBOC).

“We see Bitcoin as a crypto asset … It is an investment alternative., Li Bo, deputy governor of the PBOC, stated on a CNBC panel.

“It is not currency per se. And so the main role for crypto assets we see going forward is as an investment alternative.”

China was once among the world’s biggest buyers of bitcoin. However, in 2017, China blocked so-called initial coin offerings. Officials then shut down crypto-exchanges. The moves were a response to concerns about financial stability.

As investment alternatives, “many nations are still investigating what type of regulatory requirements are needed. Maybe minimal, but we must have some kind of requirement to prevent … the speculation of assets to produce financial stability problems., Li said. He then added that the bank will maintain its current crypto regulations.

Flex Yang, CEO of Babel Finance, called his comments “progressive” during an interview with CNBC on Monday.

“I believe it is very significant and is different from their past statements on cryptocurrencies., Vijay Ayyar, of cryptocurrency exchange Luno, said to CNBC via email.

Bitcoin seems to now be more mainstream and has gained the trust of institutional investors. Major corporations like Tesla and Square have bought large sums of bitcoin. The value of bitcoin has risen by 95% this year and just last week, the cryptocurrency reached a new record high over $64,000.

“Governments are seeing that it is a growing but established asset and that regulation is needed. China regulating crypto would be a boost to cryptos in China and around the world., Ayyar said.

China is also currently working on its own digital currency which will be managed by the PBOC. The goal is to replace cash in circulation.

Author: Steven Sinclaire

It’s difficult to grasp, but AMC Entertainment (AMC) is actually up since the beginning of this year, despite shut down theaters around the globe and an obvious shift into streaming media.

There are a many reasons for this rise, from optimism about a reopening and recovery to the completely speculative trading trend, but the fundamentals are the only thing that long-term investors should think about. And that is why you should stay far away from this stock.

The movies have changed

The past twenty years has seen a huge decline in box office sales that does not seem to be reversing course. The tickets sold in Canada and the States are down after their peak in 2002. This loss in movie goers has been offset by more expensive tickets, but there is a limit to how much theaters can charge.

To make things worse, home theaters are now better and cheaper and studios are creating relationships with streaming services for direct delivery of their content. The theater experience seems less needed than ever before for both movie creators and consumers, and that is bad news for AMC.

The company’s balance sheet is in terrible shape

Even if AMC finds a way back to pre-pandemic numbers, the company is still not a good buy for investors. In 2019, the firm had a $149.1 million loss, and that was before COVID-19.

The company has also added over $1 billion in debt over the previous year and now has a total of $5.7 billion owed.

So operations are doing worse over the long-term, and the balance sheet is now more leveraged than ever before. These are not trends you want to see in a long-term investment.

Stay far away from this stock

AMC stock is red hot right now as Reddit traders have brought the shares up. Or it could be a bet on an economic recovery. But even after a recovery, AMC is not in a position to be worth investing in, and it absolutely is not a growth stock. That means you should avoid this stock at all costs.

 

Author: Scott Dowdy
Dogecoin (DOGE), often labeled a meme coin, saw a shocking rise last week, reaching a high of 43.77 cents on Friday before pulling back some over the weekend.

Its rising stature in the world of cryptocurrency, is thanks in part due to the support of Elon Musk and his efforts to seemingly push the cryptocurrency into the mainstream.

At its all-time record on Friday, the crypto had gained over 9,200% for the ytd time period. Doge closed 2020 at 0.47 cents and briefly went over 1 cent in early 2021.

After going back below 1-cent level for most of January, Doge then hit a high of 8.49 cents in February, as Musk pushed it to the moon with his tweets. After this, Doge started consolidating and was largely held inside the 5-7 cent range.

With the listing of Coinbase on the NYSE last week, a new drive in crypto started and Doge quickly used the momentum and optimism to see a meteoric rise.

There are also companies that have started accepting Doge as payment. Among them, easyDN, a web hosting company and BOTS, a robotics company.

“Like Ethereum, Bitcoin, and Litecoin, Dogecoin is a very popular cryptocurrency people use to trade and buy., a BOTS spokesperson said.

Author: Steven Sinclaire

According to a recent survey, just 30% of people say they were “very confident” they would have the funds for a comfortable retirement. And 61% admitted that preparing for retirement stresses them out.

I understand that thinking about retirement can be hard, even if you did start early, or you have help and make a good living.

But those numbers reminds me of all the ways people go wrong in retirement planning. At the very least, they throw their retirement off track and, in certain cases, potentially cause irreversible problems.

I call these “retirement killers.” And here they are:

1. No written income plan

Retirees’ biggest fear is running out of money. Many are moving through retirement without a plan about how much they will need, or where to get the money they need to replace their paycheck.

The solution: A written income plan is as crucial as a compass is in the wilderness: Without it, you will quickly get lost. You might have to make adjustments in your movement, as new costs arise. But if you stick to your plan, it should help you stay on a good path.

2. Using the wrong ROI assumptions

If you are depending on a 9% ROI to make your plan succeed, and the market does not deliver, your retirement will be in big trouble!

The solution: Be conservative when predicting market performance. Your income plan should use a withdrawal rate of 4% or less for income to ensure you avoid market swings. Also maintain at least 18 months to two years of cash so you are not forced to sell your investments to have income when you are in a bear market.

3. Too much risk

Some folks get too caught up in building money they forget to protect it near retirement. Others mistakenly believe they have a conservative portfolio when they really have one that is aggressive.

The solution: Have a financial adviser do a review of your investments and look at how vulnerable your portfolio could be to future corrections.

4. Giving too much away

I have seen this in many forms: Parents helping grown kids with everyday expenses or some who are paying off student loans for their kids. Some people loan their kids money, or co-sign for a mortgage. This happens too often. It does not help the kids, and it certainly does not help the parents.

The solution: Always be sure you are OK first – even if you’re already “done” saving for retirement. And if that makes you “stingy,” see it this way: You are giving your kids a different type of gift – the gift of independence, for them and you.

5. Believing advisers without investigation when they say, ‘You will be OK’

Without a plan, or without understanding your plan, you are not OK, no matter what any adviser says.

The solution: If you are paying for help, you should be getting it. If your financial professional cannot make time to create a plan for you or does not have the ability to do this, you should be worried and should probably look for a new adviser.

Don’t allow these mistakes to cause you to have a bad retirement. A good plan will help you overcome bad decisions – and the sooner you get back on the right path, the better you will feel about your future.

Author: Blake Ambrose
Dogecoin (DOGE), the meme cryptocurrency that was started on December 6, 2013, has increased to new heights this week.

2021 has been a wild year for DOGE holders, as the crypto reached an all-time high at $0.143 per token on April 14th.

The token has increase over 104% against the dollar in the past seven days and last week grew by 82% against Bitcoin. The cryptocurrency featuring the mascot of a Shiba Inu dog has seen a whopping +1,181% gain in just the past three months.

Elon Musk has touted dogecoin and other celebs have been public DOGE fans as well. This week, the American food reality TV star Guy Fieri brought dogecoin to “Flavortown, USA” when he tweeted about the token.

“Rollin’ out to the MOON., he said in a tweet with a emoji rocket and a dogecoin hashtag. Overnight trading then saw DOGE increase by 20% during the day on April 14.

Meanwhile, in a similar move to Tesla accepting Bitcoin as payment, Mark Cuban, the owner of the Dallas Mavericks, announced that his team had been getting a lot of dogecoin sales, and that the team won’t be exchanging the tokens for Dollars anytime soon.

If his team are planning to keep dogecoin on their balance sheet, then the NBA team could be the first company to do so.

This is while the worldwide search trend for the term “DOGE” is growing rapidly.

At the time of this writing, DOGE is trading for $0.123 to $0.132 per token.

Author: Steven Sinclaire

Canada is again beating America in a Bitcoin first, as a new inverse Bitcoin fund debuted this week on the Toronto Stock Exchange.

While regulators in the U.S. are waiting on approving any ETFs that might track cryptocurrency, Horizons ETF has created a fund (using the ticker BITI) that will let investors put out short positions on Bitcoin futures, according to their announcement.

“This new ETF will give investors a way to profit if they believe Bitcoin’s price is not justified and that the cryptocurrency is overdue for a downturn., said Todd Rosenbluth, from CFRA Research.

The new fund comes as desire for a Bitcoin ETF increase in the States, with at least eight companies tossing their hat in the arena, including Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd and Fidelity Investments. The firm that gets the first approval is likely to experience a huge demand, giving issuers the desire to press ahead with proposals regardless of ongoing regulator pushback.

Since 2013, the SEC has declined every Bitcoin ETF application, citing worries about manipulation. Meanwhile, Canadian officials have been more lenient than their U.S. counterparts by giving their approvals for Bitcoin ETFs.

The first ETF that tracks Bitcoin launched in North America under two months ago in Toronto and has already brought in $1 billion in assets.

The BetaPro Inverse Bitcoin fund will deliver up to 100% the inverse performance of an index that, “duplicates the returns made through exposure to long notional Bitcoin futures.” The fund will have a 1.45% fee.

“Buying this fund is as simple as purchasing stock, and does not force investors to open a separate cryptocurrency account., said Steve Hawkins, CEO of Horizons ETFs. “Also, BITI will allow investors to get ‘short’ exposure to Bitcoin without shorting futures or using a margin account.”

Bitcoin break the $64,000 high for the first time this week, on the day of Coinbase’s IPO.

Author: Scott Dowdy

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