Most Popular
Author

The Breadwinner

Browsing

 

U.S. consumer prices went up in May at the quickest yearly rate in almost 13 years as the economic return from COVID lockdowns keeps growing and building momentum.

The Labor Dept. said Thursday that America’s consumer price index increased 5% year over year for May, higher than the 4.7% that was expected. The reading was also higher than last month’s 4.2% number.

Prices went up 0.6% month over month, faster than the 0.4% growth that was predicted by analysts polled by Refinitiv.

The yearly numbers have a “base effects” tilt because of the decline in prices that happened during the pandemic.

Used vehicle prices went up by a large 7.3%, accounting for almost one-third of the index’s increases. Food, meanwhile, increased by 0.4% meeting April’s rise. Energy was unaltered from the month of April as a lowering in gasoline was offset by a rise in electricity and natural gas prices.

Core CPI, which does not include energy and food, in May went up 3.8% annually, the biggest jump since June of 1992. Core prices grew 0.7% month over month, beating the 0.4% increase that was predicted. The index rose 0.9% in the month of April.

Upward pushing pressure on prices has been seen in wide parts of America’s economy as businesses attempt to find materials because of supply bottlenecks that happened as a result of covid. Some businesses are also having a hard time filling jobs due to unemployment benefits encouraging workers to not work.

The heated inflation reading comes as the Fed next week is scheduled to hold its June meeting. Investors will be watching closely to the central bank’s statements on when it might start tapering its asset buying program and start raising rates.

Jerome Powell, the current Federal Reserve Chairman has stated that he believes the upward pressure to be temporary.

Author: Scott Dowdy

Deutsche Bank, Germany’s top lender, is saying that America could be headed for the worst inflationary problems in the country’s history, arguing that greater federal spending and easy monetary policy might combine to product conditions like previous episodes in the 40s and 70s.

Pressures are occurring around $2 trillion of “extra savings” that consumers have accumulated over the previous year, when many small and large businesses were shutdown and travel almost shut down, according to their report this week.

“Consumers will use some of this savings after the economy reopens,” wrote Economist David Folkerts-Landau for Deutsche Bank, along with other analysts from the bank. “This raises the issue of consumer-caused inflation.”

Inflation is carefully watched by cryptocurrency buyers and holders who see bitcoin as an important hedge against a declining dollar.

But bitcoin has also sometimes been in sync with assets such as stocks, and the Deutsche Bank analysts are warning that when inflation happens, the Fed might be forced to react with extreme measures, which could “lead to a large recession and create a chain reaction of problems around the planet.”

This warning is in stark contrast with Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s routine assurances that increased inflation numbers are possibly “transitory,” and will settle down over time as the economy comes back from last year’s pandemic.

Deutsche Bank says they estimate the stimulus programs have totaled over $5 trillion, or over 25% of the GDP of the country. The U.S. deficit is possibly to come to 14% to 15% of GDP for 2020 and 2021, compared to 10% in 2009.

Close to World War II, economists say that the U.S. deficits were between 15% to 30% for four years.

“While there are great differences between WWII and the pandemic, we would stress that yearly inflation was 8.4% in 1946, 14.6% in 1947 and went down to 7.7% in 1948 after the economy normalized and demand was increased,” the report says.

“The Fed’s movement away from preemptive actions is the biggest factor increasing risk that it will get behind the curve and be too late to manage any inflationary issue without a large disruption to the economy,” the authors warned.

Author: Steven Sinclaire

It is easy for growth-minded investors to quickly accept Cathie Wood’s new stock ideas. The top money manager is the brain behind ARK Invest’s closely followed ETFs that thoroughly beat the market last year and gives daily updates about her market moves.

Unity Software (U), UiPath (PATH), and Spotify (SPOT) are all among her buys this Tuesday. Let’s see why these three stocks might have been chosen.

Unity Software

We are spending more time playing video games these days, and Unity Software aids developers in cashing in on the trend. Unity’s cloud-based product for real-time 3D content is getting much more popular, and the possibility is massive as Unity’s market increases from gaming to Hollywood studios, engineers, architects and graphic designers.

Revenue went up 43% last year, with a 39% top-line boost in February’s Q4 report. Last month it increased its growth sequentially, giving a 41% uptick in revenue for its fiscal Q1. Unity has turned around sharply since hitting a high in December. It is now beginning to come back, but it’s still at 44% under the highs of six months ago. Wood is not afraid to pay for growth stocks, but going for a markdown is an even better play.

UiPath

Wood is also not afraid to go for hot IPOs. UiPath became public in April and was priced at $56. The producer of enterprise software automation has risen 36% through Tuesday’s ending. UiPath’s platform provides robotics automation that aids companies in scaling their digital operations. It is all about robotics handling the lower level company tasks to help efficiency and labor costs.

UiPath produced heavy growth in its financial numbers after Tuesday’s ending. Revenue was at $186.2 million for Q1 of fiscal 2022 and that is a 65% y/y increase. Annual revenue went up by 64% to $652.6 million over the previous year. That is a big step up, but the stock went sharply lower this Wednesday. Revenue increased 81% in fiscal 2021, so this is really top-line deceleration. It’s still strong. The big run in under two months means a correction is natural. Wood maybe wanted to get in before a possible amazing performance on the way back up.

Spotify

The only name on the list that is not a recent IPO is Spotify. The popular streaming service hit the market as a listing three years back. Spotify is a juggernaut in music. There are now 356 million monthly users, higher by 24% over the previous year. It is still giving double-digit growth across all areas.

Over half of those customers are ad-supported users who don’t pay, but Spotify has good numbers on the premium side. They reported 158 million paying customers as of March, a 21% y/y increase. Spotify has attempted to differentiate itself from the other players in the market by going into podcasting. There are now 2.6 million podcasts on its service, including exclusive shows.

Spotify is a couple of years from profitability, but investors can be patient because Spotify is expanding and building its global audience in all the ways that matter.

Author: Scott Dowdy

Bitcoin is higher after the leader of El Salvador has announced that his country will officially adopt the world’s largest digital currency for its legal tender.

Bitcoin went up on Wednesday, flipping its deep losses over the previous two weeks after the president of El Salvador said his nation has enacted a law to accept the world’s top digital currency as its legal tender.

Bitcoin was higher almost 8% at $35,142 after Nayib Bukele, the El Salvador President, made the announcement. The leader said he believes the move will create jobs and give more financial inclusion.

Latin America’s youngest leader, who is known for breaking norms, revealed on Twitter that the nation’s lawmakers accepted the legislation with a “supermajority.”

Bukele previously said Bitcoin would help the economy and help turnaround El Salvador’s low banking penetration and facilitate better transfers for $6 billion of remittances per year.

The move to use the digital currency as legal tender is a much needed bit of good news for the top cryptocurrency, which was struggling to regain territory from its May downturn.

Bitcoin decreased to a two-week low this Tuesday after the seizure of the Colonial Pipeline’s hacker ransom gave investors concerns about Bitcoin’s alleged gold-like security.

Some skeptics, like Real Money’s Doug Kass take another approach to the digital currency, saying solidly that such digital currencies are not based on fundamentals that give viable payment options or store of value.

“I think cryptocurrency is like Tinkerbell’s light — its energy source is based on enough people believing in it,” Kass said.

Like wrester “Rowdy” Roddy Piper, “I’ve come to chew gum and kick ass … and I’m all out of gum.”

Kass continued: “Even with reports and articles from very intelligent cryptocurrency watchers, I remain a solid Bitcoin bear.”

Other skeptics note Bitcoin’s fees for money transfers at a time when most banks are moving to eliminate all fees for fiat money transfers as a reason why the cryptocurrency will fail eventually.

Author: Scott Dowdy

Shalanda Young, who serves as the White House Budget Chief, has recently announced that taxes will likely be increased cross the board in order to provide adequate financing to the Biden administration’s proposed $6T spending plan for 2022.

According to Young, the “reason” for increasing taxes across the board is to become more “fiscally sound,” primarily by ensuring that every dollar spent in Biden’s enormous spending plan is “offset” by revenues from taxpayers.

Young also claimed that it was possible to acquire the necessary tax revenue for individuals making $400,000 or more annually, suggesting that it is possible to achieve the needed tax revenue “without taxing individuals” who make under $400,000 per year.

On Wednesday, Young admitted that the proposed spending plan is likely to encounter difficulties passing in the Senate. One of the principal reasons for this likelihood can be attributed to various concerns about the consequences of increased taxes, including the potential stunting of economic growth, an especially serious post-pandemic concern.

https://twitter.com/user/status/1402666971628544003

Biden originally announced his proposed $6 trillion spending plan in May. This plan includes a broad range of different programs for the middle and lower classes, such as various safety net programs. Moreover, the plan also calls for large tax hikes for various businesses and high income-earning Americans.

Young claimed that Biden’s plan was designed to promote greater equality by promoting higher taxation and higher spending.

She argued that it is “responsible to ensure the middle class and those trying to enter it are not impacted.” Young also proceeded to argue that “it’s the right thing to do” with regards to elevating taxes for “the wealthiest Americans” and ensuring that they are “contributing their fair share,” which presumably involves paying what the average American worker pays “as a percentage of what they bring in.”

In addition to tax hikes, Young also suggested the imminent possibility of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates, mainly by admitting a potential increase in these interest rates will make the rising levels of American national debt even more costly to taxpayers across the nation.

Nonetheless, Young insists that the push towards presumed equity is well worth the aforementioned risks, in spite of the costs that the spending plan is likely to bring to all Americans, regardless of whether they are lower, middle, or upper class.

With the bitcoin price off nearly 50% from its record high, bullish investors are paying close attention to a new change in the numbers that could show the market is approaching a bottom: a big increase in outflows of the cryptocurrency from online exchanges.

While it is too soon to determine if these outflows can be sustained, the data may show some traders are satisfied with the price now and have no plans of selling their bitcoin. In the minds of cryptocurrency watchers, the traders could be transferring their coins to wallets or cold storage while waiting the price to rebound.

Exchanges have reported a net outflow of 22,550 bitcoin this week, the largest single-day amount since November 2, 2020, according to data company Glassnode. The analytics team that tracks movement from 13 exchanges, including Binance and Coinbase.

This comes as El Salvador President Nayib Bukele’s announced his goal of making bitcoin legal tender, which has started lifting hopes in the bitcoin market.

Since this announcement, a rush of bitcoin has been taken off exchanges at the greatest rate since last November.

“The outflow is best described as multifaceted, possibly close to HODLing, and the use of the digital currency in decentralized money transfers,” Petr Kozyakov, CEO at Mercuryo, a global payment network told CoinDesk.

The amount of bitcoins being kept in exchange wallets declined to an almost three-week low of 2.54 million, down from 2.56 million.

Investors usually transfer coins from to wallets when they are intending to buy and hold to await price rallies.

“Investors seem to be keeping their assets in offline wallets with the hope for the drop in price to balance out for a fresh price increase higher than its previous record high,” Kozyakov said.

All things taken into account, the latest movement of bitcoin from exchanges points to a bullish future. However, Jason Deane, a Quantum Economics analyst, urges investors to have a cautious mindset.

“The market does not have direction, sentiment is complex and mixed, and many numbers are showing lower demand, so this normally bullish sign should be looked at with caution in this context,” Deane said.

Author: Scott Dowdy

Most stock choosers have one aim: to stomp the market. Since Jan. 2015, the S&P 500 brought an average of 13% each year, or 110% overall. That’s not so bad, but it is nothing compared to NVIDIA’s (NASDAQ:NVDA) 3,410% roi over the same time.

Given the company’s $438 billion cap, investors might believe it is too late to purchase this stock. But NVIDIA recently gave very strong Q1 results, reminding investors that it is still a great growth company. In fact, I believe NVIDIA will keep outperforming the market. And here’s why.

High-performance products and numbers

NVIDIA is the leading maker of graphics processing units (GPUs) and AI products. Its brand is now widely connected to top-performance computing, which has meant strong demand from data centers and gamers.

In 2020, the company created its new data center GPU: Ampere. This fresh architecture helps AI workloads by up to twentyfold compared to the previous generation. NVIDIA destroyed the competition with its recent MLPerf benchmarks, a series of tests designed to determine the performance of AI computing systems.

Last year, they also started offering their GeForce RTX GPUs in the gaming market. These chips, which also use the Ampere architecture, combine real-time ray tracing and AI to create very-realistic video games.

NVIDIA’s numbers also look fantastic. The company’s first quarter showed strong output, even beating Wall Street’s estimates across the board. Their revenue increased 84% to hit $5.7 billion, and earnings went higher by 106% to $3.03 per diluted share.

A great future

NVIDIA’s top spot across multiple industries allows the company to produce three times more revenue than its nearest competitor. In graphics and supercomputing, NVIDIA has more than 90% market share. And in autonomous vehicles, Navigant has said the NVIDIA DRIVE platform is a market leader.

Here’s why this is crucial: NVIDIA reports a total addressable market in data center computing at $100 billion by around 2024, and its total market in vehicles near $25 billion by 2025. As the obvious leader in both sectors, the company is perfectly stationed to capture the majority of that cash flow.

So, how large can NVIDIA be in five years? The stock sits around 23 times sales right now. If the company keeps growing revenue at 24% each year (as has been the case since 2018), the price could almost triple by 2026 without seeing a change to is price-to-sales ratio.

Author: Scott Dowdy

U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen might be okay with a period of high inflation created by Biden’s infrastructure plan and the effects of an economy attempting to rebound from a pandemic downturn.

But history reveals that such an inflationary time is not too kind to investors’ portfolios, as they await defensibly for higher interest (which do tend to lower market returns) from the Fed.

Since 1962, Goldman Sachs Chief Strategist David Kostin discovered the median monthly equity market return during high inflation is an annualized 9% vs. 15% during times of lower inflation.

The median monthly return has been 2% annualized in times where inflation was higher and increasing compared to 15% when inflation was higher and lowering.

During times of raised inflation all the way back to 1962, careful stock choosing was more important as true volatility tends to lag. Kostin’s research reveals that the energy, health care, real estate and consumer staples industries perform best during such higher inflationary time periods. Tech and Material stocks have it the worst.

“Inflation can turn into a headwind to valuations if it causes expectations of Fed tightening and greater interest. S&P 500 has been consistently positively connected with breakeven inflation but valuations are usually contracted along with sharp upticks in real interest rates,” warns Kostin.

Market investors have not had to go far to discover bad levels of inflation.

The personal consumption expenditure index grew quicker than expected, higher 3.1% in April. Fed officials see the index as being the best sign of pricing pressure within the economy. The Fed thinks that 2% inflation is a healthy amount.

Also, the April Consumer Price Index increased at the quickest pace since Sept. 2008, coming in around 4.2% compared to a year ago. Meanwhile, consumer expectations of inflation are also increasing.

But even with these bad inflation changes, Kostin says investors are looking past them and accepting the Fed’s view about inflation being transitory.

“Despite noisy data, increasing commodity prices, and heightening labor costs, new equity returns actually reveal a lowering of investor inflation worries.” Kostin said.

Author: Scott Dowdy

US investigators have gotten back millions in crypto-currency that was paid to hackers involved in the East Coast pipeline hack, the DOJ announced on Monday.

The announcement confirms past reports of an FBI-led effort, in partnership with Colonial Pipeline, the company that was hit by the ransomware hack.

The DOJ said it seized around $2.3 million of Bitcoin sent to people in a hacking group called DarkSide. The FBI said it was investigating the group, which is reported to have shared its tools with other hackers.

The recovery, which is the first seizure done by the newly created digital extortion taskforce, is a rare ending for cyberattacks in increasing ransomware crime.

Joseph Blount, Colonial Pipeline’s CEO, reported to the WSJ that his company went along with the $4.4 million ransom due to not knowing how long it would take to bring back their operations.

But the company was taking early steps to inform the FBI and followed their instructions that aided investigators to track the payment to a wallet used by the criminal group.

“Following the money is the most powerful tool we have,” Deputy A.G. Lisa Monaco stated on Monday during the announcement, which came after reports of the recovery operation.

“Ransom payments are the foundation of these extortion criminals, and our announcement today shows that we will use every tool to make these attacks less profitable for criminal groups.”

“These criminals will never get this money,” US Attorney Stephanie Hinds stated at the press conference. “New technologies to anonymize payments will not hide criminals and allow them to steal from America.”

Blount also gave a comment after the DOJ announcement.

“When Colonial was hit on May 7, we quickly got in touch with FBI field offices and prosecutors to share with them what we understood at the time. The DOJ and FBI were crucial for helping us to understand the threat and their techniques. Their efforts to keep these criminals accountable and achieve justice are commendable,” Blount said.

Author: Steven Sinclaire

The ever-increasing use of virtual reality tech has grown the possibilities for companies across many industries. Companies used to be limited to a niche are now expanding into new sectors thanks to the developments happening.

While VR will possibly lead to growth in various tech stocks, investors seeking to benefit from VR could find special opportunities in Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) and Qualcomm (NASDAQ:QCOM). Let’s see more about why these two are such great virtual reality stocks for June.

1. Facebook

Around 44% of the planet’s population uses some part of Facebook every month. This brings into question if they can possibly find more growth. Facebook executives hope that VR will help provide some of the solution. Facebook bought Oculus back in 2014 and started investing in it, but only recently is it becoming the company’s biggest growth driver.

In the Q1 earnings call for this year, CEO Mark Zuckerberg said VR was an “important part” of how the public will interact with PCs in the years to come. He also said the Oculus Quest 2 headset has beaten their expectations after the holiday season. He went on to say the most used augmented reality apps are social apps, validating his company’s theory that Facebook synergies with Oculus to drive growth in this area.

For the first quarter of this year, Facebook’s “other revenue” sector, which mostly means Oculus, saw revenue increase 146% y/y to $732 million. This is only a small part of the $26.2 billion in the company’s revenue. But it represents a big increase from the 72% growth in 2020 and the 26% uptick in 2019.

Like the company’s revenue numbers, Facebook’s stock keeps going up — it climbed 48% over the past year. Net income went higher by 94% as the increase in operating expenses lagged the revenue growth. This allowed the company’s P/E ratio to lower over the past year, hitting 28. Given the growth in Oculus and the total gains, Facebook seems like a great option for making profits from VR.

2. Qualcomm

Investors see Qualcomm as primarily a company making smartphone chipsets. However, the firm also creates a chip for what it labels Extended Reality (XR), which uses mixed reality (MR) along with VR and AR into their SnapDragon XR2 product. It partners with others like Verizon, and their SnapDragon XR2 is found inside Facebook’s Oculus Quest 2. This important alliance gives a competitive edge to both as it pushes Qualcomm’s influence in VR and Facebook’s growth in this sector.

Qualcomm does not give details about revenue for its XR chips. However, the Qualcomm Technology Licensing (QTL) division expanded its revenue by 52% y/y in the past quarter, making up around $1.6 billion of the firm’s $7.9 billion in revenue. This was in roughly in line with total revenue growth.

Thanks to new 5G tech, Qualcomm also raised its revenue by 67% during their first two quarters of this fiscal year when compared with the six months of 2020. This allowed net income to increase by 203% over that time frame due to smaller upticks in operating expenses.

Although Qualcomm’s price increased by right over 65% over the past 12 months, profit growth has kept the valuation in line. Qualcomm stock now trades for around 19 times earnings, a 20% lowering from year-ago amounts. While 5G should keep causing profit increases, its VR offerings might enhance that impressive increase even more.

Author: Steven Sinclaire

Ad Blocker Detected!

Advertisements fund this website. Please disable your adblocking software or whitelist our website.
Thank You!